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New Home Inventory at 20-Year Low

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New Home Inventory at 20-Year Low
National Association of Home Builders    article by Daily Real Estate News | August 17, 2017

House 1016Builders failed to ramp up inventories last month, despite increasing demand from home buyers and calls from the real estate industry. New-home construction dropped 4.8 percent in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.16 million units, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and Commerce Development reported Wednesday.

Single-family production fell 0.5 percent month over month in July to an adjusted annual rate of 856,000. The July reading does follow a strong, upwardly revised June reading, the National Association of Home Builders notes. Single-family starts are 8.6 percent higher than a year ago.

Multifamily starts, meanwhile, plunged 15.3 percent last month to 299,000 units.

“New-home production numbers this month are in line with our forecast for a slow and steady recovery of the housing market,” says Robert Dietz, NAHB’s chief economist. “We saw multifamily production peak in 2015, and this sector should continue to level off as demand remains solid.”

Overall, inventories of homes for sale are at a 20-year low, according to realtor.com® data. Economists have been calling for new-home construction to help make up the shortfall in the market.

“The housing shortage in America will intensify if new construction remains as lackluster as it was in July,” Lawrence Yun, the National Association of REALTORS®’ chief economist, said in a statement. “The softening multifamily housing starts brought down the overall new housing unit additions to the second lowest monthly activity this year. Moreover, the latest 15 percent drop in multifamily housing starts and 0.5 percent drop in single-family starts will hold back economic growth potential. Because of this shortage, expect rents and home prices to rise by at least twice as fast as the broad consumer price index.”

Regionally, combined single-family and multifamily housing production increased only in the South in July, inching up 0.6 percent month over month. Housing starts posted a 15.7 percent month-over-month drop in the Northeast, a 15.2 percent drop in the Midwest and fell by 1.6 percent in the West.

Housing permits, a gauge of future construction, dropped 4.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.22 million units. Single-family permits mostly held steady at 811,000 units while multifamily permits dropped 11.2 percent to 412,000.

Source: National Association of Home Builders and National Association of REALTORS®; REALTOR® Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News 081717

Kenneth Bargers REALTOR® License 318311  |  Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular  •  (615) 915-5901 facsimile  •  kb@bargers-solutions.com email
bargers-solutions.com web  •  kennethbargers.com blog  •  Search Properties
(615) 371-2474 office  •  (615) 371-2475 facsimile  •  2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood TN 37027 address
The greatest compliment you can give is a referral!

Price Hikes in 87% of Markets; New Record Set

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Price Hikes in 87% of Markets; New Record Set
National Association of REALTORS® article by Daily Real Estate News | August 16, 2017

House 1015Median home prices in the second quarter eclipsed a record high set in 2016, jumping 6.2 percent year over year as the inventory crunch continues to push property values higher, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

The national median price for an existing single-family home was $255,600, up from $240,700—the previous high—in the second quarter of 2016, NAR reported Wednesday. Prices for single-family homes rose in 87 percent of U.S. housing markets; 23 metros saw double-digit increases.

“The 2.2 million net new jobs created over the past year generated significant interest in purchasing a home in what was an extremely competitive spring buying season,” says NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun. “Listings typically flew off the market in under a month—and even quicker in the affordable price ranges—in several parts of the country. With new supply not even coming close to keeping pace, price appreciation remained swift in most markets.”

Yun continues to urge for more new-home construction to meet the demand in the housing market. “An increasing share of would-be buyers are being priced out of the market and are unable to experience the wealth-building benefits of homeownership,” he says.

Total existing-home sales, which includes single-family homes and condos, dropped 0.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.57 million in the second quarter, NAR reports. Sales are still 1.6 percent higher than a year ago.

But at the end of the second quarter, 1.96 million existing homes were available on the market, a 7.1 percent drop from a year ago. The average supply in the second quarter was at 4.2 months.

“Mortgage rates have subsided in recent months, which has only somewhat helped take away some of the sting prospective buyers are experiencing with the deteriorating affordability conditions in many areas,” Yun says. “Household incomes may be rising and giving consumers assurance that now is a good time to buy, but these severe inventory shortages will likely continue to be a drag on sales potential in the second half of the year.”

The five priciest housing markets in the second quarter were: San Jose, Calif., metro area, where the median existing single-family price was $1,183,400; San Francisco, $950,000; Anaheim-Santa Ana, Calif., $788,000; urban Honolulu, $760,600; and San Diego, $605,000.

Meanwhile, the five lowest-cost metros in the second quarter were: Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, Ohio, $87,000; Cumberland, Maryland, $98,200; Decatur, Illinois, $107,400; Binghamton, New York, $109,000; and Elmira, New York, $111,600.

Source: National Association of REALTORS®; REALTOR® Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News 081617

Kenneth Bargers REALTOR® License 318311  |  Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular  •  (615) 915-5901 facsimile  •  kb@bargers-solutions.com email
bargers-solutions.com web  •  kennethbargers.com blog  •  Search Properties
(615) 371-2474 office  •  (615) 371-2475 facsimile  •  2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood TN 37027 address
The greatest compliment you can give is a referral!

National Overview: 2 Major Reasons Why Inventory Is So Low

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2 Major Reasons Why Inventory Is So Low
realtor.com    article by Daily Real Estate News | August 11, 2017

House 1014Inventory of available homes on the market is the lowest it’s been in two decades, but the reasons may surprise you. Two of the likely culprits are baby boomers and homeowners who are simply satisfied with their home, according to realtor.com®’s Housing Shortage Study.

Baby boomers are showing a desire to age in place in their current homes, and their refusal to sell is creating a clog in the market, according to the study. Eighty-five percent of baby boomers surveyed say they are not planning to sell their home in the next year. That means 33 million properties—many of which are urban condos or suburban single-family homes—will stay off the market. Many of those properties would be popular choices for millennials, a generation still largely waiting in the wings to break into homeownership.

“Boomers, indeed, hold the key to those homes the market desperately needs, both in the urban condo and the detached suburban home segment,” says realtor.com® chief economist Danielle Hale. “But with a strong economy and rising home prices, there’s really no reason for established homeowners to sell in the short term. Although downsizing might be on the minds of boomers, they face the same inventory shortages and price increases plaguing millennials.”

Furthermore, 63 percent of respondents to the survey indicate that their current home meets the needs of their family. They cite low interest rates (16 percent), recently purchasing their home (15 percent), and needing to make home improvements and low property taxes (each at 13 percent) as reasons not to sell. “Life events drive real estate transactions,” Hale says. “When the majority of homeowners feel their family’s needs are being met by their current home, there is nothing compelling to them to put their home on the market.”

There may be hope that more starter homes will hit the market soon. Possibly offsetting the low supply of starter homes, which is down 17 percent year over year, 60 percent of respondents to realtor.com®’s survey who did say they plan to sell in the next year are millennials who want to move to a larger home or one with nicer features.

“The housing shortage forced many first-time home buyers to consider smaller homes and condos as a way to literally get their foot in the door,” says Hale. “Our survey data reveals that we may see more of these homes hitting the market in the next year, but whether these owners actually list will depend on whether they can find another home.”

Source: realtor.com®; REALTOR® Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News 081117

Kenneth Bargers REALTOR® License 318311  |  Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular  •  (615) 915-5901 facsimile  •  kb@bargers-solutions.com email
bargers-solutions.com web  •  kennethbargers.com blog  •  Search Properties
(615) 371-2474 office  •  (615) 371-2475 facsimile  •  2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood TN 37027 address
The greatest compliment you can give is a referral!

Greater Nashville: Housing Market Positive Trends Continue Into Second Half of the Year

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Housing Market Positive Trends Continue Into Second Half of the Year
Press Release by Greater Nashville REALTORS® | August 7, 2017

House 1013NASHVILLE, Tenn. (August 7, 2017) – There were 3,872 closings reported for the month of July, according to figures provided by Greater Nashville REALTORS®. This represents an increase of 4.5 percent over the 3,705 closings reported for July 2016.

Year-to-date closings total 23,365. That is a 5.5 percent increase compared to the 22,157 closings reported through July 2016.

“Median home price is up again compared to the same month last year. As supply and demand continue to be at odds, prices can be expected to continue to rise,” said Greater Nashville REALTORS® President Scott Troxel. “However, median price is down from last month.

“It’s far too soon to tell if the drop in median price from June to July is evidence of a trend. It’s very likely there were proportionally more ‘starter’ homes sold in July than the number of starter homes sold in June. My experience is that different sectors of the market are more engaged and less-engaged at different times of the year.”

There were 3,887 properties under contract at the end of the month, compared to the 3,426 properties under contract at this time last year. The average number of days on the market for a single-family home was 25 days.

The median residential price for a single-family home during July was $288,243 and for a condominium it was $203,000. This compares with last year’s median residential and condominium prices of $267,000 and $189,986, respectively.

Active inventory at the end of July was 9,151, down from 10,133 in 2016.

“Affordability is a serious issue, but it’s not the sole issue affecting our housing market,” said Troxel. “It’s imperative we as residents, Realtors, businesses and a community work together to find solutions for matters like transit and continue to support our education systems.

“Greater Nashville REALTORS® is actively participating in all of these areas, advocating for both the business and the homeowner side of the housing industry. These items impact our housing market and we all want Middle Tennessee to continue to be a place individuals, families and businesses want to call home.”

Source: Greater Nashville REALTORS®, Press Release 080717

Kenneth Bargers REALTOR® License 318311  |  Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular  •  (615) 915-5901 facsimile  •  kb@bargers-solutions.com email
bargers-solutions.com web  •  kennethbargers.com blog  •  Search Properties
(615) 371-2474 office  •  (615) 371-2475 facsimile  •  2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood TN 37027 address
The greatest compliment you can give is a referral!

The Home Designs Gaining, Losing Popularity

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The Home Designs Gaining, Losing Popularity
BUILDER    article by Daily Real Estate News | August 7, 2017

House 1011Builders are slowly switching focus from the $500,000-plus luxury market to more moderate price points, particularly when it comes to single-family move-up homes. And the shift is influencing the types of materials and upgrades becoming popular in new homes, according to Home Innovation’s 2017 Builder Practices Survey. It turns out that high-end materials aren’t limited to construction of luxury real estate.

Crazy for quartz. Despite being one of the priciest products on Home Innovation’s list of building materials, quartz had its best year in 2016. Quartz surfaces in the bathroom appeared in 13 percent of new homes last year, up from 9 percent in 2015. In the kitchen, quartz countertops were even more popular, appearing in 15 percent of new homes last year compared to 9 percent in 2015.

Nickel gains ground. Nickel faucets are also gaining popularity in kitchens, outselling stainless steel, chrome, and bronze. In the bathroom, nickel is also being used more often, though it fell just shy of chrome in popularity.

Hardwood, vinyl are tops for floors. High-end solid hardwood and luxury vinyl tile are popular for kitchen floors. But engineered hardwood and ceramic tile each rose by 3 percentage points in market share.

No more bubble baths? The jetted tub is continuing to lose favor, going from being installed in about 15 percent of new homes in 2015 to 11 percent in 2016.

Granite and marble are on the outs. The share of new homes with natural granite and marble showers and bathtubs dropped from 12 percent to 9 percent last year. High-end enameled cast iron and granite sinks also lost favor. Lower- to mid-range vitreous china and enameled steel sinks each increased in popularity.

Source: “New Survey Predicts Market Shifts,” BUILDER (Aug. 4, 2017); REALTOR® Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News 080717

Kenneth Bargers REALTOR® License 318311  |  Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular  •  (615) 915-5901 facsimile  •  kb@bargers-solutions.com email
bargers-solutions.com web  •  kennethbargers.com blog  •  Search Properties
(615) 371-2474 office  •  (615) 371-2475 facsimile  •  2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood TN 37027 address
The greatest compliment you can give is a referral!

30-Year Rates Are Hovering Below 4%

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30-Year Rates Are Hovering Below 4%
Freddie Mac    article by Daily Real Estate News | July 28, 2017

Mortgage rates posted another drop this week, offering more relief to home buyers.

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages with mortgage rates for the week ending July 27:

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.92 percent, with an average 0.5 point, falling from last week’s 3.96 percent average. Last year at this time, 30-year rates averaged 3.48 percent.
  • 15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.20 percent, with an average 0.5 point, dropping from last week’s 3.23 percent average. A year ago, 15-year rates averaged 2.78 percent.
  • 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages: averaged 3.18 percent, with an average 0.5 point, down from last week’s 3.21 percent average. A year ago, 5-year ARMs averaged 2.78 percent.

Source: Freddie Mac; REALTOR® Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News 072817

Kenneth Bargers REALTOR® License 318311  |  Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular  •  (615) 915-5901 facsimile  •  kb@bargers-solutions.com email
bargers-solutions.com web  •  kennethbargers.com blog  •  Search Properties
(615) 371-2474 office  •  (615) 371-2475 facsimile  •  2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood TN 37027 address
The greatest compliment you can give is a referral!

New-Home Sales Are High, But They Could Be Higher

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New-Home Sales Are High, But They Could Be Higher
National Association of Home Builders    article by Daily Real Estate News | July 27, 2017

New-home sales inched up 0.8 percent in June, but sales would be higher if there were more new homes to sell. Sales of newly built single-family homes reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 610,000 units in June, according to a joint report released by the U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

“While new home inventory rose slightly in June, it remains tight as builders face lot and labor shortages and increases in building material costs,” says Michael Neal, senior economist at the National Association of Home Builders.

regional_nhs_jun17

The lower price ranges are seeing some of the tightest inventory supply. Only about 2,000 new homes under $150,000 were sold in June, according to the report. About 6,000 homes were sold in the $150,000 to $199,999 price range. There was an uptick in the $200,000 to $299,000 price range at about 19,000 new homes sold in June, which is up from 15,000 a year ago.

The greatest number of new homes were sold in the South in June.

But the most sales on the rise last month were in the West. New-home sales rose in June by 12.5 percent month over month in the West and by 10 percent in the Midwest. Sales were unchanged in the Northeast in June, and dropped by 6.1 percent in the South, according to the Census and HUD report.

New homes remain significantly pricier than existing homes. New home buyers likely will pay about 17.8 percent more than if they purchased a previously lived-in home.

This rings true even though new-home prices did slow down last month. The median price of a newly built home dropped nearly 4.2 percent in June month over month to $310,800. Prices are down nearly 3.4 percent from a year ago. Meanwhile, the median existing home price reached a record in June at $263,800.

Despite June’s modest new-home sales gain, sales overall remain up nearly 11 percent since the beginning of 2017, according to the NAHB.

Source: National Association of Home Builders and “New-Home Prices Are Down: Get One Before They Sell Out,” realtor.com® (July 26, 2017); REALTOR® Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News 072717

Kenneth Bargers REALTOR® License 318311  |  Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular  •  (615) 915-5901 facsimile  •  kb@bargers-solutions.com email
bargers-solutions.com web  •  kennethbargers.com blog  •  Search Properties
(615) 371-2474 office  •  (615) 371-2475 facsimile  •  2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood TN 37027 address
The greatest compliment you can give is a referral!
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