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Archive for November 2017

5 Housing Trends to Watch for 2018

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5 Housing Trends to Watch for 2018
realtor.com   article by Daily Real Estate News | November 29, 2017

Home shoppers may have it easier in 2018. Inventory constraints of for-sale homes and rising home prices may finally start to ease next year, according to realtor.com®’s 2018 National Housing Forecast.

“Next year will set the stage for a significant inflection point in the housing shortage,” says Javier Vivas, director of economic research for realtor.com®. “Inventory increases will be felt in higher priced segments after spring home buying season, which we expect to take hold and begin to provide relief for buyers and drive sales growth in 2019 and beyond.”

But the big wild card for 2018 will be any impact from the proposed tax reform legislation, which is currently being debated by Congress, realtor.com® adds.

realtor 2018forecast

Here’s a closer look at realtor.com®’s five housing prediction trends for 2018:

  1. Inventory to start increasing: Realtor.com® projects positive year-over-year inventory growth by the fall of 2018—which will be the first time since 2015. “Inventory declines are expected to decelerate slowly throughout the year, reaching a 4 percent year-over-year decline in March before increasing in early fall, after the peak home-buying months,” realtor.com® notes in its report. The cities expected to see inventory levels recover first are Boston; Detroit; Kansas City, Mo.; Nashville; and Philadelphia. The majority of this growth will be in the mid- to upper-tier price points (which includes homes priced above $350,000). On the other hand, recovery in the starter home market likely will linger since levels are “significantly depleted by first time buyers,” realtor.com® notes.
  2. Price appreciation to slow: Home buyers likely will see home prices moderate in the new year. Realtor.com® forecasts home prices to slow to a 3.2 percent growth year over year nationwide. For comparison, home prices in 2017 posted a 5.5 percent increase. The majority of the slowing price appreciation will be centered in the higher-priced ranges as more inventory becomes available. Entry-level homes, on the other hand, likely will continue to see price gains due to a larger potential buyer pool as well as a more limited number of homes available for sale in this price range.
  3. Millennials to gain market share: Finally, the long-held predictions may hold true. Millennials may reach 43 percent of home buyers taking out a mortgage by the end of 2018, up from an estimated 40 percent in 2017, realtor.com® projects. The largest cohort of millennials are expected to turn 30 in 2020. “Millennials are a driving force in today’s housing market,” Vivas says. “They already dominate lower price home mortgage and are getting close to overtaking older generations for mid- and upper-tier mortgages. While financially secure in general, their debt to income ratios have started to increase as they compete for higher priced homes.”
  4. The South to lead in sales growth: Realtor.com® forecasts that Southern cities will top national averages in home sales growth in 2018. Markets like Tulsa, Okla.; Little Rock, Ark.; Dallas; and Charlotte, N.C., are expected to be the highest performers. Sales in these markets are predicted to increase by 6 percent or more. Nationally, sales growths are predicted to grow by 2.5 percent. “The majority of this growth can be attributed to healthy building levels combating the housing shortage,” realtor.com® notes in its report. “With inventory growth just around the corner, these areas are primed for sales gains in years to come.”
  5. Tax reform wild card: Tax reform could dampen 2018 sales and price forecasts, realtor.com® reports. The U.S. House has passed a tax bill, and the Senate likely will vote on one soon. “While the ultimate impact of tax reform will depend on the details of the plan that is finally adopted, both versions include provisions that are likely to decrease incentives for mobility and reduce ownership tax benefits,” realtor.com® reports. “On the flip side, some taxpayers, including renters, are likely to see tax cuts. While more disposable income for buyers is positive for housing, the loss of tax benefits for owners could lead to fewer sales and impact prices negatively over time with the largest impact on markets with higher prices and incomes.” Read more: Tax Reform Proposals Threaten Homeowners and REALTORS® Square Up After House Passes Tax Bill

Source: realtor.com®; REALTOR® Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News 112917


Kenneth Bargers, REALTOR® License 318311 ♦ Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular ♦ (615) 371-2474 office
kb@bargers-solutions.com emailkb@kennethbargers.realtor email
www.bargers-solutions..com webkennethbargers.com blog
2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood, Tennessee 37027 address

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Rent No More! 10 U.S. Cities With Huge Increases in Homeownership

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Rent No More! 10 U.S. Cities With Huge Increases in Homeownership
Article by Clare Trapasso; realtor.com | November 27, 2017

House 1026It’s time to tune out the chatter, the doom, and certainly the gloom: The American Dream of homeownership is alive and well. Really.

But that doesn’t mean it’s easy to buy a home these days. So what are the stumbling blocks? Stroke-inducing student loan debt. Soaring home and rent prices, and a lack of properties in many markets. And let’s not forget the Great Recession, which set so many would-be buyers back on their heels.

All this has dragged down homeownership rates, which hit 63.9% nationally in the third quarter of the year, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. That’s down about five percentage points from their pre-crash high in 2004.

But wait: There are bright beacons of hope across the nation, places where homeownership is actually on the rise.

The data team at realtor.com® set out to find those metros where homeownership rates are growing the fastest. In the process, we discovered a few trends. Ownership is shooting up the most in Rust Belt cities undergoing a resurgence; in smaller cities close to much bigger and pricier metros, where commuters can snag a home for less; and in fast-growing Southern hubs that are continuing to experience booming job markets.

Bonus: More than half of the metros on our list boast median prices well under the national median of $274,492.

“Affordability is a strong draw to these areas,” says Danielle Hale, chief economist at realtor.com®. A lot of these cities are on the outskirts of big cities where folks can snag an abode for less and then commute downtown for work, she adds.

However, interested buyers had better move fast—all this demand is steadily pushing home prices skyward.

To come up with our findings, the data team analyzed Census data comparing the homeownership rates in the first three-quarters of 2014 to the first three-quarters of 2017. The Census data only included 75 of the largest metros (with some cities moving on or off the list over the years, due to population shifts). Home list price data, from realtor.com, dates from Oct. 1.

So where are the most buyers settling into homes of their very own? Get ready for a few surprises…

1. Milwaukee, WI
Median home price: $224,950
Current homeownership rate: 68.7%
Three-year homeownership change: +11%

2. Charlotte, NC
Median home price: $327,050
Current homeownership rate: 62.8%
Three-year homeownership change: +10.5%

3. Memphis, TN
Median home price: $195,050
Current homeownership rate: 61%
Three-year homeownership change: +9.3%

4. Baltimore, MD
Median home price: $300,040
Current homeownership rate: 68.4%
Three-year homeownership change: +7.3%

5. Allentown, PA
Median home price: $225,050
Current homeownership rate: 74.8%
Three-year homeownership change: +7.3%

6. Pittsburgh
Median home price: $174,950
Current homeownership rate: 74%
Three-year homeownership change: +7.2%

7. Albuquerque, NM
Median home price: $239,950
Current homeownership rate: 66%
Three-year homeownership change: +5.7%

8. Nashville, TN
Median home price: $359,050
Current homeownership rate: 68.8%
Three-year homeownership change: +4.9%

9. Dallas, TX
Median home price: $339,950
Current homeownership rate: 60.7%
Three-year homeownership change: +4.8%

10. Syracuse, NY
Median home price: $149,950
Current homeownership rate: 66.5%
Three-year homeownership change: +4.6%

Read the complete article at realtor.com
Clare Trapasso is the senior news editor of realtor.com and an adjunct journalism professor. She previously wrote for a Financial Times publication and the New York Daily News. Contact her at clare.trapasso@move.com. Follow @claretrap


Kenneth Bargers, REALTOR® License 318311 ♦ Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular ♦ (615) 371-2474 office
kb@bargers-solutions.com emailkb@kennethbargers.realtor email
www.bargers-solutions..com webkennethbargers.com blog
2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood, Tennessee 37027 address

Nationally: Home Sales Are Rising Despite Supply Woes

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Nationally: Home Sales Are Rising Despite Supply Woes
National Association of REALTORS® article by Daily Real Estate News | November 21, 2017

October EHS InfographicExisting-home sales in October rose to the strongest pace since earlier this summer, the National Association of REALTORS® reported Tuesday.

Total existing-home sales—which comprise completed transactions of single-family homes, townhomes, condos, and co-ops—rose 2 percent month over month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.48 million. Sales are now at the strongest pace since June’s 5.51 million.

However, sales remain 0.9 percent below a year ago, NAR reports. Continual supply shortages have led to fewer closings on an annual basis for the second consecutive month.

“Job growth in most of the country continues to carry on at a robust level and is starting to slowly push up wages, which is in turn giving households added assurance that now is a good time to buy a home,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “While the housing market gained a little more momentum last month, sales are still below year-ago levels because low inventory is limiting choices for prospective buyers and keeping price growth elevated.”

Lower sales are still evident in parts of Texas and Florida from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, Yun notes. He predicts that sales will rebound to their pre-storm levels by the end of the year “as demand for buying in these areas was very strong before the storms.”

October Snapshot

Here’s a closer look at existing-home sales in October, according to NAR’s report:

Home prices: The median existing-home price for all housing types in October was $247,000, up 5.5 percent from a year ago.

Inventory: Total housing inventory at the end of October dropped 3.2 percent to 1.80 million existing homes available for sale. Inventory is now 10.4 percent lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a 3.9-month supply at the current sales pace, down from 4.4 months a year ago.

All-cash sales: All-cash transactions comprised 20 percent of sales in October, down from 22 percent a year ago. Individual investors make up the biggest bulk of cash sales. They accounted for 13 percent of sales in October, unchanged from a year ago.

Distressed sales: Foreclosures and short sales accounted for 4 percent of sales in October, down from 5 percent a year ago. Broken out, foreclosures comprised 3 percent of sales and short sales made up 1 percent.

Days on the market: Forty-seven percent of homes sold in October were on the market for less than a month. Properties, on average, stayed on the market for 34 days in October, down from 41 days a year ago.

“Listings—especially those in the affordable price range—continue to go under contract typically a week faster than a year ago, and even quicker in many areas where healthy job markets are driving sustained demand for buying,” Yun says. “With the seasonal decline in inventory beginning to occur in most markets, prospective buyers will likely continue to see competitive conditions through the winter.”

Source: National Association of REALTORS®; REALTOR® Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News 112117


Kenneth Bargers, REALTOR® License 318311 ♦ Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular ♦ (615) 371-2474 office
kb@bargers-solutions.com emailkb@kennethbargers.realtor email
www.bargers-solutions..com webkennethbargers.com blog
2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood, Tennessee 37027 address

Mortgage Rates Rise to 4-Month High

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Mortgage Rates Rise to 4-Month High
Freddie Mac    article by Daily Real Estate News | November 17, 2017

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage reached its highest average since July this week.

rates111717

“The 10-year Treasury yield ticked up 6 basis points, while the 30-year mortgage rate jumped 5 basis points to 3.95 percent,” says Sean Becketti, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “Today’s survey rate is the highest rate in nearly four months.”

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages with mortgage rates for the week ending Nov. 16:

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.95 percent, with an average 0.5 point, rising from last week’s 3.90 percent average. Last year at this time, 30-year rates averaged 3.94 percent.
  • 15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.31 percent, with an average 0.5 point, rising from last week’s 3.24 percent average. A year ago, 15-year rates averaged 3.14 percent.
  • 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages: averaged 3.21 percent this week, with an average 0.4 point, falling slightly from last week’s 3.22 percent average. A year ago, 5-year ARMs averaged 3.07 percent.

Source: Freddie Mac; REALTOR® Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News 111717


Kenneth Bargers, REALTOR® License 318311 ♦ Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular ♦ (615) 371-2474 office
kb@bargers-solutions.com emailkb@kennethbargers.realtor email
www.bargers-solutions..com webkennethbargers.com blog
2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood, Tennessee 37027 address

Realtor.com®: Housing Boom Is Officially Back

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Realtor.com®: Housing Boom Is Officially Back
article by Daily Real Estate News | November 13, 2017

Housing prices have returned to the “boom levels” of a decade ago, but this time around, the fast appreciation is being fueled by strong supply-and-demand dynamics rather than predatory lending practices, investor speculation, and too much construction, according to new realtor.com® data released Monday.

appreciationchart“As we compare today’s market dynamics to those of a decade ago, it’s important to remember rising prices didn’t cause the housing crash,” says realtor.com® Chief Economist Danielle Hale. “It was rising prices stoked by subprime and low-documentation mortgages, as well as people looking for short-term gains—versus today’s truer market vitality—that created the environment for the crash.”

The national median price for a home in 2016 was $236,000—2 percent higher than in pre-recession 2006—according to realtor.com®. Out of the country’s 50 largest housing markets, 31 have returned to their levels during the last housing bubble. Realtor.com® researchers finger Austin, Texas, as the city that has posted the largest increases in home prices—63 percent—over the past 10 years. Denver and Dallas have also seen some of the biggest gains, at 54 percent and 52 percent, respectively. On the other hand, three markets remained more than 20 percent below their 2006 highs: Las Vegas (25 percent below); Tucson, Ariz. (22 percent); and Riverside, Calif. (22 percent).

cityappreciation

Source: realtor.com®; REALTOR® Magazine Online, Daily Real Estate News 111317


Kenneth Bargers, REALTOR® License 318311 ♦ Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular ♦ (615) 371-2474 office
kb@bargers-solutions.com emailkb@kennethbargers.realtor email
www.bargers-solutions..com webkennethbargers.com blog
2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood, Tennessee 37027 address

Nashville Area Housing Market Holds Steady Entering the Fourth Quarter

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Nashville Area Housing Market Holds Steady Entering the Fourth Quarter
Press Release by Greater Nashville REALTORS® | November 7, 2017

Nashville Zoo Image 1NASHVILLE, Tenn. (Nov. 7, 2017) – There were 3,267 home closings reported for the month of October, according to figures provided by Greater Nashville REALTORS®. This figure is down 1.7 percent from the 3,324 closings reported for the same period last year.

Year-to-date closings for the Greater Nashville area were 34,059 at the end of October. That is an increase of 4.2 percent from the 32,696 closings, reported through October 2016.

“Through all of 2017, the Middle Tennessee region witnessed significant increases in year-over-year sales,” said Greater Nashville REALTORS® President Scott Troxel. “October showed a modest decline in the number of properties sold. Residential properties saw just 15 fewer sales in October compared to 2016. A minor adjustment like this is not cause for alarm. Our market’s dynamics are very positive, both in the local economy and the housing market. We expect to see a typical lull in the fall and holidays, followed by renewed energy in January.”

There were 3,358 properties under contract at the end of the month, compared to the 3,083 properties under contract at this time last year. The average number of days on the market for a single-family home was 27 days.

The median residential price for a single-family home during October was $277,642 and for a condominium, it was $208,000. This compares with last year’s median residential and condominium prices of $261,000 and $186,000, respectively.

Active inventory at the end of October was 9,564, down from 10,177 in 2016.

“REALTORS® had hoped proposed tax reform would lead to needed changes; unfortunately, the current proposals are going to hurt current and potential homeowners,” said Troxel. “Measures like placing limits on the use of the Mortgage Interest Deduction and the elimination of deductions for state and local sales and income tax will reverse the incentives for homeownership. Considering that homeowners pay between 80 and 90 percent of all federal incomes taxes, they shouldn’t be penalized through tax reform. REALTORS® are working fervently to protect homeownership and homeowners.”

### Greater Nashville REALTORS® is one of Middle Tennessee’s largest professional trade associations and serves as the primary voice for Nashville-area property owners. REALTOR® is a registered trademark that may be used only by real estate professionals who are members of the National Association of REALTORS® and subscribe to its strict code of ethics. ###

Source: Greater Nashville REALTORS®, Press Release 110717


Kenneth Bargers, REALTOR® License 318311 ♦ Pilkerton Realtors License 257352
(615) 512-9836 cellular ♦ (615) 371-2474 office
kb@bargers-solutions.com emailkb@kennethbargers.realtor email
www.bargers-solutions..com webkennethbargers.com blog
2 Cadillac Drive, Brentwood, Tennessee 37027 address

Written by Kenneth Bargers

November 7, 2017 at 5:40 pm

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